2021 Portland Apartment Market Forecast: Strong Economic Recovery Expected After a Dark Year

We recently completed our annual Portland Apartment Newsletter. It provides a wrap up of the apartment market in 2020 and a forecast for 2021. The full report is here, but I've summarized a few main points below.

Market Highlights

  • Overall, median prices were up in 2020 though there was an obvious flight to quality with fewer sales of higher risk properties.

  • Suburban areas saw rents that increased slightly and stable vacancies

  • Urban areas experienced some rent declines and increased vacancies

  • Forecasts for strong rent increases in 2021 and 2022

  • Apartment permits down in Portland, but steady outside of Portland

  • While many are experiencing economic uncertainty, there are many well capitalized investors seeking multifamily properties.

  • $800 million in Q4 2020 apartment sales confirms Portland’s national investment appeal

Risks

  • Apartment completions will likely outpace demand in 2021

  • Shift toward home ownership and home construction

  • Increased regulation is making investors/developers consider locations outside OR

  • Slower population growth and aging cohort of prime renters; Oregon in 2020 had slightly more deaths than births for the first time ever

  • Reputational damage in Portland from negative national publicity

  • Some clear signs of increasing interest rates as of March 2021

If any questions ever come up, please don't hesitate to reach out.

Posted on March 2, 2021 .